Today’s WatchBlog explores how safe our rails are, and what the future holds for the U.S. railroad system.
Fewer Accidents, but Emerging Challenges Could Affect Safety
Amtrak and 29 commuter railroads collectively carry an average of 670 million passengers a year over 23 billion miles. In addition, the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) has estimated that freight shipments will increase by about 176 million tons between 2010 and 2020.
Despite so many “train miles” traveled by both passengers and freight, the last 30 years has seen a steady decline in the accident rate, as shown below.
(Excerpted from GAO-14-85)
While accidents have declined, we’ve reported that FRA faces emerging safety oversight challenges for both passenger and freight rail, including
- Using new safety technologies. FRA is implementing positive train control, a communications-based system designed to prevent certain types of rail accidents—such as train-to-train collisions—that are caused by human factors. However, the timeline has been delayed because the system’s components are in various stages of development. Installing components requires multiple phases of testing, which can take even longer with limited staff resources.
- Managing risks of shipping more hazardous materials. For example, the majority of crude oil transported by rail is shipped via “unit trains.” These may consist of 80 to 120 tank cars as shown below, each carrying about 30,000 gallons of oil. When shipping hazardous materials, the risk of any related accident, like recent derailments in West Virginia and Illinois, is more severe
- Employing sufficient numbers of inspectors. FRA expects 30 percent of its current and future staff to be eligible for retirement in the next 5 years.
(Excerpted from GAO-14-667)
Can We Get There Faster?
There’s been a growing interest in high-speed rail to improve passenger travel and ease traffic congestion. California has been a hub of this interest, with plans for a high-speed passenger rail system connecting Los Angeles and San Francisco, as shown below. This system would
- Be the first U.S. rail line designed to operate at speeds up to 220 miles per hour, and
- Cost an estimated $68.4 billion, potentially making it the nation’s most expensive transportation project.
(Excerpted from GAO-13-304)
The overall future of California’s high-speed project remains uncertain. The plan relies on both public and private financing, but public financing is an uncertainty in this tight federal and state budget environment. The California High-Speed Rail Authority had reasonable ridership and revenue forecasts to help inform its decision making. However, to ensure continued progress on the project, we found that the rail authority needs to increase the accuracy, comprehensiveness, and credibility of its cost estimates.
Interested in learning more about the U.S. railroad system? Check out our work on issues including the effects of freight transportation on community congestion, and our reports on the High Risk area of funding surface transportation.